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Fed Rates
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Fed Decision in October?
$20.1M vol.
64%
No change36%
25 bps increaseFed Decision in December?
$2.2M vol.
75%
25 bps increase25%
No changeAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
$429.8K vol.
82%
Yes19%
NoHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$53.6M vol.
97%
0 (0 bps)2%
1 (25 bps)Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
$813.7K vol.
100%
Other<1%
Pause–Pause–PauseHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$777K vol.
92%
5.3%76%
5.4%Fed Decision in January?
$191.3K vol.
52%
No change46%
25 bps increaseWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
$27.4K vol.
100%
Hike<1%
CutNo change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
$29K vol.
66%
No change35%
Hike 25 bpsHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$52.2K vol.
92%
5.10%51%
5.25%No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?
$20.5K vol.
100%
September 30100%
October 15Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
$177.2K vol.
48%
Hike–Pause–Hike28%
Hike–Hike–HikeHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$136.6K vol.
89%
5.65%83%
5.70%Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$454.3K vol.
20%
December 31<1%
May 30How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$67.4K vol.
19%
Below 4.50%14%
Below 4.45%Fed rate cut by...?
$3.7M vol.
96%
July 2027 Meeting59%
April 2027 MeetingFed decisions (Oct-Jan)
$1.6K vol.
19%
Pause-Hike-Pause16%
Hike-Pause-PauseWhat will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?
$12.2K vol.
32%
3.5%17%
4.75%Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$33.5K vol.
17%
December 31<1%
June 30How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$335.9K vol.
22%
Below 4.7%12%
Below 4.6%What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$6.9M vol.
56%
4.25%29%
≥ 4.5%What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.8M vol.
84%
↑ 4.25%34%
↑ 4.5%How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
$8.3K vol.
39%
039%
1How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$28.3K vol.
43%
Below 5.20%42%
Below 5.15%