Fed Rates

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Fed Decision in October? card icon

Fed Decision in October?

$21.1M vol.

76%
No change
24%
25 bps increase
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? card icon

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$53.7M vol.

97%
0 (0 bps)
2%
1 (25 bps)
Fed Decision in December? card icon

Fed Decision in December?

$2.2M vol.

70%
25 bps increase
30%
No change
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct) card icon

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

$813.7K vol.

100%
Other
<1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$796.3K vol.

88%
5.3%
79%
5.4%
Fed Decision in January? card icon

Fed Decision in January?

$199.5K vol.

55%
No change
36%
25 bps increase
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? card icon

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

$448.2K vol.

79%
Yes
23%
No
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) card icon

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

$191.9K vol.

56%
Hike–Pause–Hike
24%
Hike–Hike–Hike
What will be the next Fed rate change? card icon

What will be the next Fed rate change?

$27.4K vol.

100%
Hike
<1%
Cut
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$142.8K vol.

88%
5.65%
67%
5.70%
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? card icon

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$57.1K vol.

83%
5.10%
42%
5.25%
No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...? card icon

No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?

$20.5K vol.

100%
September 30
100%
October 15
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$68.6K vol.

19%
Below 4.50%
13%
Below 4.45%
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) card icon

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

$5.3K vol.

30%
Pause-Hike-Hike
28%
Pause-Hike-Pause
Fed rate cut by...? card icon

Fed rate cut by...?

$3.7M vol.

96%
July 2027 Meeting
59%
April 2027 Meeting
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$30.8K vol.

49%
Below 5.20%
41%
Below 5.15%
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…? card icon

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$454.6K vol.

17%
December 31
<1%
May 30
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? card icon

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

$30.1K vol.

73%
No change
30%
Hike 25 bps
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027? card icon

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

$12.5K vol.

17%
4.75%
14%
4.0%
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? card icon

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

$336.3K vol.

22%
Below 4.7%
12%
Below 4.6%
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...? card icon

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

$33.6K vol.

50%
October 31
15%
December 31
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting? card icon

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

$8.6K vol.

38%
0
40%
1
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? card icon

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$6.9M vol.

61%
4.25%
24%
≥ 4.5%
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027? card icon

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.8M vol.

83%
↑ 4.25%
34%
↑ 4.5%
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