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Trump
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
$54.7M vol.
21%
Yes80%
No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
$2.8M vol.
93%
December 3191%
October 31
Trump out as President by August 31?
$261.6K vol.
<1%
Yes99%
No
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$23.7M vol.
8%
Yes93%
No
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
$3.5M vol.
32%
No Meeting by September 3020%
Switzerland
Trump out as President before 2027?
$10.4M vol.
7%
Yes94%
No
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$35.2M vol.
4%
Yes96%
No
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
$3.7M vol.
31%
Yes70%
No
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by August 31?
$47.5K vol.
5%
Yes97%
No
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$3.6M vol.
26%
December 3115%
October 31
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
$279.4K vol.
76%
No meeting by December 3114%
China
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$94.9M vol.
83%
Nicolás Maduro9%
Delcy Rodríguez
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
$1.5M vol.
26%
Yes75%
No
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?
$51.3K vol.
42%
100-11922%
120-139
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
$5.7M vol.
35%
December 3115%
October 31
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
$954.7K vol.
23%
December 3112%
October 31
Fed Decision in October?
$441.4K vol.
69%
No change23%
25 bps increase
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 3 - August 8)
$8.4K vol.
76%
August 868%
August 6
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
$2.8M vol.
93%
No meeting before 20273%
Switzerland
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
$17.9K vol.
54%
30+34%
40+
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$17.6M vol.
13%
December 317%
October 31
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?
$7K vol.
17%
Yes87%
No
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$623.3K vol.
5%
Yes96%
No
What will Trump post this week? (August 3 - August 9)
$7.4K vol.
95%
Crime98%
China
